Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -18.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | OHIO -4000 NIU +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +12 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -16.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (+3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -16.9 (-4.9) | 141.5 (-5.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -12.8 (-0.8) | 141.5 (-5.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -13.4 (-1.4) | 143.0 (-7.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -14.0 (-2.0) | 141.5 (-5.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | OHIO 74 – 66 NIU |
| Jan 21, 2026 | OHIO 80 – 77 NIU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | OHIO 108 – 70 NIU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | OHIO 80 – 59 NIU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | OHIO 78 – 66 NIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 6-14 |
| Home | 15-2 | 3-8 |
| Away | 8-6 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#102) | -8.6 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#45) | -0.81 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.26 (#53) | -1.06 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#58) | 0.459 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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