Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | NIU +210 OHIO -258 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +8 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | OHIO -4.2 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -3.7 (-4.3) | 145.9 (-5.9) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -3.5 (-4.5) | 143.6 (-3.6) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -3.5 (-4.5) | 143.9 (-3.9) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -4.3 (-3.7) | 144.5 (-4.5) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2026 | OHIO 80 – 77 NIU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | OHIO 108 – 70 NIU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | OHIO 80 – 59 NIU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | OHIO 78 – 66 NIU |
| Feb 22, 2023 | OHIO 77 – 68 NIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIU | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-7 | 10-6 |
| Away | 3-14 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 80.0 |
| Massey | -10.4 (#313) | -3.2 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#281) | -0.23 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#302) | -0.35 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#267) | 0.508 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIU | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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