Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | CMU +550 AKR -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +4 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | AKR -11.9 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (-23.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -11.9 (+7.9) | 137.1 (-21.1) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -12.1 (+8.1) | 140.9 (-24.9) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -11.5 (+7.5) | 142.6 (-26.6) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -13.2 (+9.2) | 137.9 (-21.9) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | AKR 77 – 64 CMU |
| Jan 7, 2026 | AKR 82 – 69 CMU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | AKR 85 – 82 CMU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | AKR 87 – 71 CMU |
| Feb 7, 2024 | AKR 68 – 47 CMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 2-9 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-11 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 63.9 |
| Massey | -15.1 (#349) | 0.2 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.26 (#331) | 0.46 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.19 (#339) | 0.45 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#307) | 0.517 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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