Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | ORE -350 COLO +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +4 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | ORE -6.7 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (+20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -6.6 (-10.6) | 140.0 (+20.0) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -7.0 (-11.0) | 141.4 (+18.6) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -6.2 (-10.2) | 141.5 (+18.5) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -6.3 (-10.3) | 140.8 (+19.2) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 17, 2024 | ORE 75 – 68 COLO |
| Mar 8, 2024 | COLO 79 – 75 ORE |
| Jan 19, 2024 | COLO 86 – 70 ORE |
| Jan 27, 2023 | ORE 75 – 69 COLO |
| Jan 6, 2023 | COLO 68 – 41 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-5 | 12-6 |
| Away | 6-6 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#52) | 6.1 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.92 (#51) | 1.39 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.59 (#44) | 1.73 (#76) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#43) | 0.550 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.