Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | UCLA +130 ARIZ -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +16 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -6.3 (+22.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.6 (-22.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -1.0 (+17.0) | 149.9 (-15.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -2.9 (+18.9) | 153.7 (-19.7) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -2.7 (+18.7) | 154.0 (-20.0) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -1.8 (+17.8) | 155.3 (-21.3) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | ARIZ 69 – 65 UCLA |
| Dec 14, 2024 | UCLA 57 – 54 ARIZ |
| Mar 8, 2024 | ARIZ 88 – 65 UCLA |
| Jan 20, 2024 | ARIZ 77 – 71 UCLA |
| Mar 12, 2023 | ARIZ 61 – 59 UCLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 33-4 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 18-2 |
| Home | 14-1 | 17-0 |
| Away | 8-4 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 84.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 15.1 (#16) | 24.8 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.08 (#11) | 3.76 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.05 (#9) | 4.82 (#4) |
| RPI | 0.613 (#24) | 0.649 (#6) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 50.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 43.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 41.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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