Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | BAY -900 KSU +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +25 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | BAY -15.2 (+9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -14.3 (+10.7) | 132.5 (-9.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -12.7 (+12.3) | 136.2 (-13.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -13.4 (+11.6) | 135.5 (-12.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -11.6 (+13.4) | 136.4 (-13.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | KSU 90 – 74 BAY |
| Mar 12, 2025 | BAY 70 – 56 KSU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | BAY 70 – 62 KSU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | KSU 68 – 64 BAY |
| Feb 22, 2023 | KSU 75 – 65 BAY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BAY | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-2 | 9-7 |
| Away | 8-3 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.1 | 67.5 |
| Massey | 20.5 (#4) | 8.7 (#59) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.94 (#2) | 1.33 (#77) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.18 (#2) | 1.99 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.626 (#17) | 0.521 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BAY | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.5% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.