Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Under |
| Money | RUTG -170 MD +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MD +8 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | RUTG -1.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -2.3 (-10.3) | 135.3 (-7.3) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -1.9 (-9.9) | 135.5 (-7.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -1.9 (-9.9) | 136.0 (-8.0) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -1.6 (-9.6) | 135.3 (-7.3) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | RUTG 69 – 65 MD |
| Feb 15, 2026 | RUTG 68 – 57 MD |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MD 90 – 81 RUTG |
| Mar 13, 2024 | MD 65 – 51 RUTG |
| Feb 25, 2024 | MD 63 – 46 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 7-13 |
| Home | 14-3 | 10-8 |
| Away | 4-9 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#111) | 6.0 (#91) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#88) | 0.85 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#80) | 1.14 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#124) | 0.536 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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