Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +17 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -6.1 (+23.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -6.0 (+23.0) | 127.3 (-0.3) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -5.6 (+22.6) | 130.6 (-3.6) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -6.0 (+23.0) | 130.8 (-3.8) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -5.2 (+22.2) | 128.5 (-1.5) | 35% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | CREI 76 – 59 BTLR |
| Dec 31, 2025 | CREI 89 – 85 BTLR |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CREI 87 – 74 BTLR |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CREI 80 – 76 BTLR |
| Feb 17, 2024 | CREI 79 – 57 BTLR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 12-7 |
| Home | 9-7 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 66.4 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#175) | 8.9 (#56) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#91) | 2.30 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#89) | 3.39 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#128) | 0.584 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 14.6% |
Game Analysis
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