Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -15.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Over |
| Money | YALE -1700 COLU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +11 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -18.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -12.6 (-1.6) | 149.3 (+5.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -14.1 (-3.1) | 150.4 (+4.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -14.7 (-3.7) | 150.5 (+4.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -14.5 (-3.5) | 149.5 (+5.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | YALE 60 – 54 COLU |
| Jan 19, 2026 | YALE 91 – 74 COLU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | YALE 90 – 64 COLU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | YALE 92 – 88 COLU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | YALE 84 – 76 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 4-22 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 1-13 |
| Home | 10-3 | 3-10 |
| Away | 6-6 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 79.5 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#147) | -14.0 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#175) | -2.65 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#161) | -3.33 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#130) | 0.353 (#352) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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