Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -15.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | IONA -1700 SIE +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +17 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -19.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -12.9 (+4.1) | 143.6 (-12.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -15.2 (+1.8) | 142.7 (-11.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -16.2 (+0.8) | 142.5 (-11.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -16.1 (+0.9) | 142.8 (-11.8) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | SIE 79 – 72 IONA |
| Jan 3, 2026 | IONA 75 – 72 SIE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | IONA 72 – 68 SIE |
| Jan 5, 2025 | IONA 74 – 73 SIE |
| Mar 9, 2024 | IONA 68 – 54 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 15-14 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 12-8 |
| Home | 13-0 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-5 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 69.2 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#57) | -7.0 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.50 (#32) | -0.51 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.99 (#33) | -0.96 (#243) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#12) | 0.475 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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