Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +7 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -9.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (+12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -9.1 (-2.1) | 136.9 (+12.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -8.2 (-1.2) | 137.1 (+11.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -8.6 (-1.6) | 137.1 (+11.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -8.6 (-1.6) | 137.1 (+11.9) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | FLA 91 – 67 TENN |
| Mar 16, 2025 | FLA 86 – 77 TENN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | TENN 64 – 44 FLA |
| Jan 8, 2025 | FLA 73 – 43 TENN |
| Jan 16, 2024 | TENN 85 – 66 FLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 16-0 | 13-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 17.4 (#12) | 11.2 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.68 (#23) | 1.44 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.35 (#24) | 1.76 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.620 (#19) | 0.561 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.3% | 23.2% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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