Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | BGSU -350 EMU +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +14 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | BGSU -4.9 (+9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.6 (-5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -6.5 (+7.5) | 156.5 (-0.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -3.6 (+10.4) | 154.9 (+1.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -3.5 (+10.5) | 155.0 (+1.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -4.4 (+9.6) | 157.5 (-1.5) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | BGSU 77 – 69 EMU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BGSU 85 – 79 EMU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | BGSU 65 – 60 EMU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | EMU 68 – 62 BGSU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | EMU 69 – 60 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 5-15 |
| Home | 9-7 | 8-7 |
| Away | 3-10 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.9 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.2 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#242) | -5.1 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#197) | -1.04 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#217) | -1.29 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#192) | 0.441 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.