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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–12 on winners spread MAE 8.5 36 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tulane @ Houston +16.8 128.2 87% 52–77 ✓
Montana State @ Southern Utah +6.1 147.8 74% 80–77 ✗
Akron @ Buffalo +2.6 152.2 61% 74–81 ✓
Seattle U @ Grand Canyon +4.6 132.5 68% 47–81 ✓
Fairfield @ Saint Peter's +3.7 124.3 63% 52–47 ✗
North Carolina @ Florida State +0.3 141.8 46% 66–69 ✓
Oregon State @ Oregon +5.4 133.9 70% 75–64 ✗
Wisconsin @ Iowa +4.4 140.9 66% 57–62 ✓
UConn @ Creighton +0.2 139.5 50% 56–59 ✓
Norfolk State @ North Carolina A&T -5.7 132.5 25% 1–0 ✓
Ole Miss @ LSU +1.0 139.3 51% 73–76 ✓
Lamar @ Abilene Christian +12.6 134.1 85% 71–93 ✓
UC Davis @ UC Santa Barbara +8.0 132.6 77% 55–71 ✓
Texas @ Kansas +2.8 124.9 70% 1–0 ✗
Nevada @ San Diego State +6.3 133.9 75% 70–77 ✓
Grambling @ Prairie View A&M +4.9 135.2 72% 63–75 ✓
Missouri @ Arkansas +4.6 150.1 69% 64–70 ✓
UCF @ Memphis +4.9 133.4 65% 62–70 ✓
Montana @ Eastern Washington +3.9 141.0 70% 50–78 ✓
New Mexico State @ Utah Valley -2.7 133.6 35% 78–62 ✓
Colorado @ USC +0.3 128.8 45% 72–70 ✗
UC Riverside @ UC Irvine -0.8 128.9 50% 61–78 ✗
Colorado State @ Utah State +2.3 134.8 58% 50–62 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Hartford +3.2 134.7 68% 50–64 ✓
Ohio State @ Michigan +1.6 137.2 56% 68–67 ✗
Tennessee @ Alabama +1.5 135.1 59% 68–73 ✓
Morgan State @ Norfolk State -0.6 143.2 50% 63–71 ✗
Cincinnati @ Wichita State +2.8 141.0 61% 60–59 ✗
LSU @ Arkansas +2.1 159.4 61% 78–71 ✗
Iowa @ Illinois +0.4 152.7 53% 71–82 ✓
Iona @ Fairfield -7.6 131.7 22% 60–51 ✓
Memphis @ Houston +5.9 130.4 76% 74–76 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Texas +1.3 142.4 57% 86–91 ✓
Utah State @ San Diego State +1.0 126.8 57% 57–68 ✓
Texas Southern @ Prairie View A&M +0.4 142.4 50% 80–61 ✗
Georgetown @ Creighton +4.3 143.8 65% 73–48 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.