Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | ORE -350 ORST +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +11 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | ORE -7.5 (-18.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (+1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -6.9 (-17.9) | 139.2 (-0.2) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -5.4 (-16.4) | 133.9 (+5.1) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -5.6 (-16.6) | 138.2 (+0.8) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -5.8 (-16.8) | 138.2 (+0.8) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2025 | ORE 87 – 75 ORST |
| Nov 22, 2024 | ORE 78 – 75 ORST |
| Feb 29, 2024 | ORE 78 – 71 ORST |
| Feb 18, 2024 | ORE 60 – 58 ORST |
| Feb 26, 2023 | ORE 69 – 67 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-7 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-2 | 10-6 |
| Away | 7-2 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 12.1 (#33) | 4.6 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.46 (#22) | 1.12 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.01 (#25) | 1.63 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.596 (#23) | 0.513 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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