Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.0 Over |
| Money | UCI -124 UCR +106 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +17 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | UCR -1.5 (+18.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.1 (+13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -0.8 (+17.8) | 127.9 (+11.1) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCR -0.8 (+17.8) | 128.9 (+10.1) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCR -0.9 (+17.9) | 128.7 (+10.3) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -1.0 (+18.0) | 128.5 (+10.5) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | UCI 80 – 66 UCR |
| Dec 5, 2025 | UCI 73 – 60 UCR |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UCR 84 – 80 UCI |
| Jan 5, 2025 | UCI 81 – 57 UCR |
| Feb 11, 2024 | UCR 88 – 78 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-9 | 14-8 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 8-4 |
| Home | 10-1 | 5-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.1 | 63.6 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#118) | 4.8 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#107) | 0.52 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#101) | 0.90 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#63) | 0.508 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 15.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.