Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | MICH -200 OSU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +1 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | MICH -3.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -3.0 (-4.0) | 141.8 (-6.8) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -1.6 (-2.6) | 137.2 (-2.2) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -2.5 (-3.5) | 141.6 (-6.6) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -3.4 (-4.4) | 140.1 (-5.1) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | MICH 71 – 67 OSU |
| Feb 8, 2026 | MICH 82 – 61 OSU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MICH 74 – 62 OSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MICH 86 – 83 OSU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | OSU 84 – 61 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-5 | 21-10 |
| Conference | 14-3 | 12-8 |
| Home | 13-1 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-2 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.1 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 19.5 (#5) | 16.3 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.68 (#3) | 2.90 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.64 (#3) | 4.00 (#8) |
| RPI | 0.634 (#2) | 0.598 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.6% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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