Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | KU +120 TEX -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +1 | 1 | Lost |
| Massey | KU -3.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (-138.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -4.1 (-5.1) | 136.0 (-135.0) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -2.8 (-3.8) | 124.9 (-123.9) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -3.7 (-4.7) | 134.2 (-133.2) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KU -4.1 (-5.1) | 128.5 (-127.5) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2024 | KU 86 – 67 TEX |
| Mar 11, 2023 | TEX 76 – 56 KU |
| Mar 4, 2023 | TEX 75 – 59 KU |
| Feb 7, 2023 | KU 88 – 80 TEX |
| Mar 5, 2022 | KU 70 – 63 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 19-8 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-6 |
| Home | 14-1 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-6 | 6-2 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 14.1 (#21) | 13.5 (#26) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.06 (#6) | 2.93 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.58 (#11) | 3.72 (#10) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#17) | 0.603 (#16) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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