Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | FAIR +350 IONA -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAIR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +9 | 111 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -10.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.9 (-20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -7.6 (-1.4) | 133.6 (-22.6) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -7.6 (-1.4) | 131.7 (-20.7) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -7.4 (-1.6) | 132.1 (-21.1) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -7.8 (-1.2) | 132.1 (-21.1) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | FAIR 71 – 70 IONA |
| Feb 2, 2025 | IONA 87 – 64 FAIR |
| Jan 11, 2025 | FAIR 68 – 64 IONA |
| Mar 14, 2024 | FAIR 68 – 63 IONA |
| Feb 3, 2024 | IONA 91 – 82 FAIR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAIR | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-17 | 12-6 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-3 |
| Home | 4-8 | 4-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-3 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 66.1 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#283) | 1.9 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#251) | 0.43 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#254) | 0.36 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#250) | 0.549 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAIR | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 32.3% |
Game Analysis
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