Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | GCU -275 SEA +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +34 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -6.8 (+27.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -5.2 (+28.8) | 134.0 (-6.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -4.6 (+29.4) | 132.5 (-4.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -5.3 (+28.7) | 133.9 (-5.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -5.9 (+28.1) | 133.8 (-5.8) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2025 | GCU 63 – 60 SEA |
| Jan 31, 2025 | GCU 83 – 74 SEA |
| Mar 16, 2024 | GCU 80 – 72 SEA |
| Feb 2, 2024 | GCU 95 – 88 SEA |
| Jan 21, 2024 | SEA 86 – 79 GCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-7 | 12-11 |
| Conference | 9-3 | 4-5 |
| Home | 10-3 | 6-3 |
| Away | 5-1 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#122) | -3.6 (#224) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#188) | -1.15 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#166) | -1.09 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#152) | 0.433 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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