Houston
Cougars
76
–
74
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Air Force Reserve American Athletic Conference
Memphis
Tigers
Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | HOU -250 MEM +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +2 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -8.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.6 (+19.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -6.6 (-4.6) | 131.6 (+18.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -5.9 (-3.9) | 130.4 (+19.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -6.9 (-4.9) | 131.8 (+18.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -6.0 (-4.0) | 128.6 (+21.4) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2023 | MEM 75 – 65 HOU |
| Mar 5, 2023 | HOU 67 – 65 MEM |
| Feb 19, 2023 | HOU 72 – 64 MEM |
| Mar 13, 2022 | HOU 71 – 53 MEM |
| Mar 6, 2022 | MEM 75 – 61 HOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-4 | 20-8 |
| Conference | 14-3 | 11-4 |
| Home | 15-0 | 10-1 |
| Away | 5-3 | 4-3 |
| Neutral | 8-1 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 58.6 | 62.7 |
| Massey | 19.0 (#6) | 10.6 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.93 (#8) | 1.70 (#53) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.78 (#9) | 2.41 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.629 (#4) | 0.568 (#51) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.6 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 39.5% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.0% | 43.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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