Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | CREI -400 GTWN +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GTWN +25 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | CREI -8.1 (-33.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (-27.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -6.1 (-31.1) | 145.1 (-24.1) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -4.3 (-29.3) | 143.8 (-22.8) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -5.6 (-30.6) | 144.2 (-23.2) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -5.8 (-30.8) | 143.5 (-22.5) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | GTWN 76 – 68 CREI |
| Jan 14, 2026 | CREI 86 – 83 GTWN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | CREI 80 – 69 GTWN |
| Dec 18, 2024 | GTWN 81 – 57 CREI |
| Feb 14, 2024 | CREI 94 – 72 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-9 | 13-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 7-9 |
| Home | 11-3 | 7-6 |
| Away | 7-4 | 2-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 15.5 (#11) | 7.4 (#75) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#23) | 1.57 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.15 (#21) | 1.94 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#59) | 0.543 (#87) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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