← All models
Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
10–3 on winners
spread MAE 10.1
13 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ohio
@
Buffalo
|
+1.8 | 154.6 | 57% | 84–69 | ✗ |
Montana State
@
Eastern Washington
|
+6.0 | 147.4 | 75% | 55–65 | ✓ |
Georgia Tech
@
Florida State
|
+2.6 | 135.4 | 54% | 80–75 | ✗ |
North Texas
@
Western Kentucky
|
-0.7 | 125.6 | 49% | 61–57 | ✓ |
Abilene Christian
@
Nicholls
|
-5.5 | 144.2 | 26% | 79–45 | ✓ |
New Mexico State
@
Grand Canyon
|
+1.5 | 127.5 | 55% | 56–74 | ✓ |
Oregon State
@
Colorado
|
+6.3 | 130.5 | 73% | 70–68 | ✗ |
UC Irvine
@
UC Santa Barbara
|
+1.9 | 128.2 | 59% | 63–79 | ✓ |
Loyola Maryland
@
Colgate
|
+14.1 | 152.0 | 87% | 72–85 | ✓ |
LSU
@
Alabama
|
+2.3 | 155.8 | 58% | 79–80 | ✓ |
VCU
@
St. Bonaventure
|
+2.3 | 127.2 | 63% | 65–74 | ✓ |
Cincinnati
@
Houston
|
+14.0 | 133.0 | 86% | 54–91 | ✓ |
Ohio State
@
Illinois
|
+3.6 | 146.0 | 65% | 88–91 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.