Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | EWU -333 MTST +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +10 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -8.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (-32.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -7.1 (+2.9) | 147.7 (-27.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -6.0 (+4.0) | 147.4 (-27.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -6.9 (+3.1) | 148.8 (-28.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -6.5 (+3.5) | 147.8 (-27.8) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | EWU 72 – 71 MTST |
| Jan 9, 2026 | MTST 68 – 64 EWU |
| Jan 21, 2025 | MTST 74 – 64 EWU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | EWU 68 – 63 MTST |
| Mar 2, 2024 | EWU 108 – 104 MTST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-8 | 13-10 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 8-6 |
| Home | 7-2 | 5-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#103) | -3.6 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#149) | -0.58 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#135) | -0.74 (#217) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#76) | 0.486 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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