Florida State
Seminoles
75
–
80
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
New York Life ACC
Georgia Tech
Yellow Jackets
Betting Lines
| Spread | FSU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | FSU -175 GT +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +5 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | FSU -3.7 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (+12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FSU -2.1 (-7.1) | 137.9 (+17.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FSU -2.6 (-7.6) | 135.4 (+19.6) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FSU -1.5 (-6.5) | 137.2 (+17.8) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FSU -2.1 (-7.1) | 136.7 (+18.3) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | FSU 80 – 71 GT |
| Jan 18, 2025 | FSU 91 – 78 GT |
| Mar 2, 2024 | GT 85 – 76 FSU |
| Jan 4, 2024 | FSU 82 – 71 GT |
| Mar 7, 2023 | GT 61 – 60 FSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FSU | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-7 | 17-9 |
| Conference | 11-4 | 11-6 |
| Home | 12-1 | 11-3 |
| Away | 3-4 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 14.6 (#16) | 11.0 (#42) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.58 (#17) | 2.07 (#37) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.13 (#20) | 2.68 (#39) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#30) | 0.561 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FSU | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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