Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | COLG -600 L-MD +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +13 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -17.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (+6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -17.1 (-4.1) | 149.5 (+7.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -14.1 (-1.1) | 152.0 (+5.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -17.2 (-4.2) | 150.5 (+6.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -17.1 (-4.1) | 149.0 (+8.0) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | COLG 90 – 77 L-MD |
| Feb 21, 2026 | COLG 101 – 98 L-MD |
| Jan 15, 2026 | COLG 86 – 80 L-MD |
| Feb 23, 2025 | L-MD 84 – 65 COLG |
| Feb 8, 2025 | COLG 82 – 68 L-MD |
Game Analysis
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