Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | UCSB -125 UCI +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +16 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | UCSB -3.2 (+12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.0 (+15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -2.2 (+13.8) | 129.8 (+12.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -1.9 (+14.1) | 128.2 (+13.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -2.4 (+13.6) | 130.4 (+11.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -2.2 (+13.8) | 130.4 (+11.6) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UCI 64 – 60 UCSB |
| Feb 8, 2026 | UCSB 84 – 79 UCI |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UCI 97 – 88 UCSB |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UCI 62 – 60 UCSB |
| Feb 23, 2024 | UCI 81 – 69 UCSB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSB | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-5 | 18-9 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 10-4 |
| Home | 11-0 | 10-1 |
| Away | 8-4 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 64.1 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#78) | 4.1 (#112) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#57) | 0.85 (#105) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#76) | 1.17 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#33) | 0.560 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSB | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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