Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | COLO -333 ORST +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +2 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | COLO -10.1 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -7.4 (-9.4) | 135.6 (+2.4) | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -6.3 (-8.3) | 130.5 (+7.5) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -7.1 (-9.1) | 134.1 (+3.9) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -7.7 (-9.7) | 135.0 (+3.0) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2024 | COLO 73 – 57 ORST |
| Jan 21, 2024 | COLO 90 – 57 ORST |
| Jan 29, 2023 | ORST 60 – 52 COLO |
| Jan 8, 2023 | COLO 62 – 42 ORST |
| Feb 16, 2022 | COLO 90 – 64 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-1 | 10-6 |
| Away | 6-6 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 15.4 (#12) | 5.2 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.31 (#25) | 1.27 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.03 (#24) | 1.83 (#74) |
| RPI | 0.596 (#21) | 0.517 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.