Nicholls
Colonels
45
–
79
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Hercules Tires Southland
Abilene Christian
Wildcats
Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | NICH +230 ACU -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +34 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | ACU -8.9 (-25.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (-20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -7.0 (-27.0) | 147.3 (-23.3) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -5.5 (-28.5) | 144.2 (-20.2) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -7.4 (-26.6) | 149.7 (-25.7) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -6.8 (-27.2) | 146.8 (-22.8) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-7 | 24-5 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 13-2 |
| Home | 8-1 | 13-0 |
| Away | 7-5 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 61.6 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#188) | 7.3 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#169) | 0.75 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#188) | 1.05 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#107) | 0.552 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 27.0% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 30.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.