Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | LSU -110 MISS +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +3 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -3.1 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -1.7 (+1.3) | 141.8 (+7.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -1.0 (+2.0) | 139.3 (+9.7) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -1.3 (+1.7) | 142.5 (+6.5) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -1.7 (+1.3) | 141.6 (+7.4) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | LSU 106 – 99 MISS |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MISS 72 – 70 LSU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MISS 77 – 65 LSU |
| Jan 18, 2024 | LSU 89 – 80 MISS |
| Feb 26, 2023 | MISS 82 – 69 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-10 | 16-12 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.8 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 63.6 |
| Massey | 13.4 (#28) | 10.3 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.08 (#37) | 1.54 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.67 (#39) | 2.04 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#29) | 0.546 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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