Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | CREI -110 CONN +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +3 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -1.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (-30.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -1.4 (+1.6) | 144.2 (-29.2) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -0.2 (+2.8) | 139.5 (-24.5) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -0.7 (+2.3) | 142.7 (-27.7) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -1.5 (+1.5) | 143.1 (-28.1) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | CREI 91 – 84 CONN |
| Feb 1, 2026 | CONN 85 – 58 CREI |
| Mar 15, 2025 | CREI 71 – 62 CONN |
| Feb 12, 2025 | CONN 70 – 66 CREI |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CREI 68 – 63 CONN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-9 | 15-8 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-6 |
| Home | 11-3 | 7-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-3 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 64.6 |
| Massey | 15.5 (#11) | 14.2 (#20) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#23) | 2.33 (#27) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.15 (#21) | 3.05 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#59) | 0.587 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 37.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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