Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | TEX -138 OKST +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +5 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -1.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (+28.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -0.9 (+4.1) | 144.2 (+32.8) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -1.3 (+3.7) | 142.4 (+34.6) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -0.9 (+4.1) | 144.0 (+33.0) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -1.2 (+3.8) | 140.8 (+36.2) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2024 | TEX 81 – 65 OKST |
| Mar 10, 2023 | TEX 61 – 47 OKST |
| Jan 25, 2023 | TEX 89 – 75 OKST |
| Jan 7, 2023 | TEX 56 – 46 OKST |
| Jan 22, 2022 | TEX 56 – 51 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-8 | 21-9 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-5 | 10-3 |
| Away | 6-2 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 13.5 (#26) | 12.2 (#32) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.93 (#9) | 3.35 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.72 (#10) | 4.21 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#16) | 0.624 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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