Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | IOWA -175 WIS +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +5 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -5.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (-29.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -5.5 (-0.5) | 146.3 (-27.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -4.4 (+0.6) | 140.9 (-21.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -5.0 (-0.0) | 145.4 (-26.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -5.5 (-0.5) | 145.7 (-26.7) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | WIS 84 – 71 IOWA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | WIS 74 – 63 IOWA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WIS 116 – 85 IOWA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | IOWA 88 – 86 WIS |
| Jan 3, 2024 | WIS 83 – 72 IOWA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-9 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-2 | 11-5 |
| Away | 6-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.7 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 64.6 |
| Massey | 19.9 (#4) | 14.3 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.02 (#7) | 2.26 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.17 (#6) | 3.21 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#40) | 0.547 (#78) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.6% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 2.02 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 13.3% | 13.2% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.2% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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