Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | EWU -275 MONT +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +28 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -5.3 (+22.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (-17.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -4.7 (+23.3) | 142.9 (-14.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -3.9 (+24.1) | 141.0 (-13.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -4.8 (+23.2) | 143.4 (-15.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -4.9 (+23.1) | 142.4 (-14.4) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | EWU 82 – 74 MONT |
| Jan 10, 2026 | EWU 66 – 65 MONT |
| Mar 4, 2025 | MONT 83 – 72 EWU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | MONT 92 – 81 EWU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | EWU 89 – 79 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-8 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 7-9 |
| Home | 7-2 | 8-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#111) | -1.3 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#154) | -0.69 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#139) | -0.81 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#79) | 0.486 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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