The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–7 on winners spread MAE 8.6 40 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Nebraska @ Wisconsin +11.4 139.2 82% 53–67 ✓
Bradley @ Missouri +12.3 138.7 84% 53–54 ✓
Texas Tech @ Oklahoma +0.6 138.3 52% 69–67 ✗
North Carolina @ NC State +4.5 141.9 71% 76–79 ✓
North Dakota @ Drake +16.8 136.8 89% 55–88 ✓
Wichita State @ South Florida +1.3 134.5 55% 82–77 ✗
Montana @ Arizona +10.5 133.4 86% 64–70 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Davidson +5.3 131.3 69% 65–85 ✓
High Point @ Eastern Kentucky +4.5 152.7 64% 67–86 ✓
Louisville @ Pittsburgh +3.4 131.4 60% 64–54 ✗
La Salle @ Maryland +14.0 132.8 87% 71–84 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Florida Gulf Coast +1.8 140.2 58% 60–73 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Western Kentucky +12.6 142.3 87% 68–88 ✓
Lamar @ UTSA +3.2 140.9 64% 66–88 ✓
Northeastern @ Georgia +8.3 141.5 83% 58–76 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Alabama +9.7 137.8 82% 69–85 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ UL Monroe -5.1 137.4 26% 68–57 ✓
Temple @ Houston — — — 50–76 —
Northwestern State @ Gonzaga +23.2 165.6 91% 78–95 ✓
West Virginia @ Kansas +2.7 139.3 66% 65–79 ✓
Purdue @ Iowa +9.3 149.2 79% 55–70 ✓
Portland State @ Oregon State +6.3 145.5 75% 62–67 ✓
San Diego State @ Saint Mary's -0.3 126.1 42% 74–49 ✓
North Dakota State @ TCU +7.8 130.8 73% 82–89 ✓
Colorado @ Grand Canyon -10.5 132.5 16% 74–64 ✓
Bellarmine @ Notre Dame +3.8 137.7 67% 70–81 ✓
Delaware State @ UNC Wilmington +20.5 155.5 91% 63–87 ✓
Saint Peter's @ St. Francis Brooklyn -1.2 143.9 45% 70–64 ✓
NJIT @ Rider — — — 81–66 —
Xavier @ Creighton +3.8 155.4 75% 61–66 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Grambling +5.1 134.1 53% 77–70 ✗
Towson @ George Mason +7.3 139.5 81% 65–70 ✓
Idaho State @ Northern Colorado +2.4 128.2 53% 71–56 ✗
Rutgers @ Ohio State +1.3 141.5 66% 68–80 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Tennessee +24.5 140.1 90% 60–80 ✓
Northwestern State @ Washington State +14.7 142.3 87% 52–62 ✓
Georgetown @ Seton Hall +8.9 150.3 84% 67–78 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Pepperdine +4.5 139.8 57% 79–51 ✗
Providence @ Butler -1.8 138.6 38% 64–70 ✗
Illinois @ Penn State -0.7 154.0 53% 98–81 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.