Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NJIT +15 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | NJIT -0.5 (-14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (+8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RID -1.8 (-16.8) | 138.3 (+8.7) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -1.3 (-16.3) | 137.5 (+9.5) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-17 | 7-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-10 |
| Home | 1-8 | 3-5 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#269) | -2.6 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#295) | -0.84 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.23 (#291) | -1.26 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.396 (#286) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 34.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 38.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 13.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 59.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 40.0% |
Game Analysis
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