Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -15.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
| Money | DRKE -1800 UND +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +33 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -20.6 (+12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (+2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -18.5 (+14.5) | 141.1 (+1.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -16.8 (+16.2) | 136.8 (+6.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -22.0 (+11.0) | 139.3 (+3.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -20.2 (+12.8) | 140.5 (+2.5) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-5 | 9-17 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-8 |
| Home | 14-1 | 5-3 |
| Away | 9-2 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 12.4 (#25) | -3.8 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.32 (#34) | -1.79 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.87 (#54) | -2.09 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#100) | 0.399 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.2% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 40.8% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.1% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 37.6% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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