Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | UNCO -500 IDST +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDST +15 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCO -7.9 (-22.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.9 (+2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -4.9 (-19.9) | 131.4 (-4.4) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -2.4 (-17.4) | 128.2 (-1.2) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -4.0 (-19.0) | 129.0 (-2.0) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -4.6 (-19.6) | 129.2 (-2.2) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UNCO 69 – 61 IDST |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UNCO 85 – 72 IDST |
| Feb 4, 2025 | UNCO 86 – 72 IDST |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UNCO 93 – 92 IDST |
| Mar 11, 2024 | IDST 83 – 76 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-11 | 13-11 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 8-6 |
| Home | 6-5 | 8-3 |
| Away | 4-5 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 64.5 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#256) | -9.7 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#236) | -3.22 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.39 (#266) | -5.26 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#253) | 0.298 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.49 | 0.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 24.2% | 29.7% |
| ORB% | 20.5% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 80.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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