Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -19.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | WSU -3500 NWST +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +10 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -19.5 (-9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (-27.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -18.2 (-8.2) | 140.2 (-26.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -14.7 (-4.7) | 142.3 (-28.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -21.8 (-11.8) | 142.2 (-28.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -20.3 (-10.3) | 138.6 (-24.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 7-12 | 9-7 |
| Home | 11-5 | 6-4 |
| Away | 3-6 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 81.0 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#130) | -12.9 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#35) | -4.22 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.97 (#52) | -6.61 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#95) | 0.408 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 37.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.3% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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