Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | UGA -500 NE +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +18 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -8.9 (+9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (-5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -10.6 (+7.4) | 141.8 (-7.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -8.3 (+9.7) | 141.5 (-7.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -10.0 (+8.0) | 143.8 (-9.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -10.8 (+7.2) | 143.5 (-9.5) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-12 | 10-9 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-2 |
| Home | 12-5 | 5-1 |
| Away | 2-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#56) | 3.7 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.39 (#31) | -0.07 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.50 (#38) | 0.50 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#60) | 0.492 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 26.9% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 43.6 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 14.4 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 37.7% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.4% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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