Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.0 Under |
| Money | CREI -310 XAV +255 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +5 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -6.3 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.0 (-38.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -4.0 (+1.0) | 158.8 (-31.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -3.8 (+1.2) | 155.4 (-28.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -5.5 (-0.5) | 158.6 (-31.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -3.5 (+1.5) | 158.5 (-31.5) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | CREI 94 – 93 XAV |
| Dec 17, 2025 | CREI 98 – 57 XAV |
| Mar 1, 2025 | XAV 83 – 61 CREI |
| Jan 30, 2025 | CREI 86 – 77 XAV |
| Feb 10, 2024 | CREI 78 – 71 XAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | XAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-9 | 13-8 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 6-7 |
| Home | 11-3 | 11-2 |
| Away | 7-4 | 2-5 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 13.4 (#22) | 11.4 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#53) | 3.62 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.75 (#57) | 5.38 (#10) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#68) | 0.658 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | XAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.4% | 51.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 41.5% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.72 | 1.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.7% | 59.1% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 44.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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