Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -20.0 Push |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
| Money | WKU -2800 TNTC +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +20 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -16.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (+12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -12.6 (+7.4) | 142.3 (+13.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -12.8 (+7.2) | 144.2 (+11.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -13.8 (+6.2) | 143.7 (+12.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -15.0 (+5.0) | 144.9 (+11.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 4, 2025 | WKU 82 – 70 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#135) | -10.5 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.12 (#44) | -2.15 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.71 (#58) | -3.06 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#77) | 0.484 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 25.7% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 24.9% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 14.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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