Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
| Money | OU +125 TTU -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +2 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | TTU -1.3 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -1.4 (-3.4) | 136.4 (-0.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -0.6 (-2.6) | 138.3 (-2.3) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -0.9 (-2.9) | 141.4 (-5.4) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OU -0.8 (-2.8) | 137.3 (-1.3) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2024 | TTU 85 – 84 OU |
| Feb 22, 2023 | TTU 74 – 63 OU |
| Jan 8, 2023 | OU 68 – 63 TTU |
| Mar 12, 2022 | TTU 56 – 55 OU |
| Feb 23, 2022 | TTU 66 – 42 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-11 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 9-8 | 9-8 |
| Home | 10-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 63.2 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#49) | 14.8 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.92 (#19) | 1.70 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.87 (#29) | 3.10 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#106) | 0.536 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 36.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 31.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 41.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 28.9% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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