Betting Lines
| Spread | UTSA -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | UTSA -300 LAM +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTSA +22 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | UTSA -3.0 (+19.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (+12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTSA -3.2 (+18.8) | 140.9 (+13.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTSA -2.5 (+19.5) | 139.9 (+14.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTSA -2.4 (+19.6) | 139.8 (+14.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTSA -2.4 (+19.6) | 140.6 (+13.4) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2023 | UTSA 86 – 83 LAM |
| Nov 15, 2023 | LAM 90 – 82 UTSA |
| Nov 24, 2021 | UTSA 79 – 73 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTSA | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-4 |
| Massey | -14.4 (#318) | -13.0 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.33 (#300) | -2.54 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.47 (#300) | -3.89 (#308) |
| RPI | 0.349 (#309) | 0.415 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTSA | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.9% | 36.2% |
| 3PT% | 23.4% | 21.2% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.7% | 39.1% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.9% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.