Betting Lines
| Spread | UTSA -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | UTSA -150 LAM +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTSA +3 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | UTSA -0.7 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.6 (+0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTSA -1.1 (+1.9) | 159.6 (+9.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTSA -0.6 (+2.4) | 156.4 (+12.6) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTSA -0.5 (+2.5) | 156.9 (+12.1) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTSA -0.8 (+2.2) | 159.1 (+9.9) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2023 | LAM 90 – 82 UTSA |
| Nov 24, 2021 | UTSA 79 – 73 LAM |
| Dec 23, 2020 | UTSA 88 – 66 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTSA | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-9 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.6 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#321) | -3.3 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#293) | -0.68 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#287) | -1.02 (#243) |
| RPI | 0.380 (#327) | 0.484 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTSA | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 42.2% |
| REB / G | 41.6 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.6% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 30.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.