Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -16.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | WIS -2000 NEB +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +14 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -16.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (-17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -14.3 (-0.3) | 139.3 (-19.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -11.4 (+2.6) | 139.2 (-19.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -15.1 (-1.1) | 140.5 (-20.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -15.4 (-1.4) | 139.8 (-19.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2025 | NEB 90 – 60 WIS |
| Jan 26, 2025 | WIS 83 – 55 NEB |
| Feb 2, 2024 | NEB 80 – 72 WIS |
| Jan 6, 2024 | WIS 88 – 72 NEB |
| Feb 11, 2023 | NEB 73 – 63 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 7-20 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 3-16 |
| Home | 11-5 | 6-9 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.6 | 74.6 |
| Massey | 14.5 (#17) | 2.7 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#56) | -1.02 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.18 (#44) | -1.12 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#65) | 0.399 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 43.7% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.82 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 12.1% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.5% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 77.6% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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