Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
| Money | KU -135 WVU +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +14 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | KU -4.7 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -3.5 (+10.5) | 139.8 (+4.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -2.7 (+11.3) | 139.3 (+4.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -2.6 (+11.4) | 140.4 (+3.6) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -3.6 (+10.4) | 139.8 (+4.2) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | WVU 86 – 75 KU |
| Dec 31, 2024 | WVU 62 – 61 KU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | WVU 91 – 85 KU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | KU 78 – 61 WVU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | KU 76 – 74 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 19-10 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-6 |
| Home | 14-1 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-6 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 11.4 (#37) | 11.1 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.17 (#14) | 3.62 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.15 (#20) | 5.40 (#9) |
| RPI | 0.611 (#41) | 0.714 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 42.9 | 41.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 38.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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