He took it all too far, but boy could he play guitar. "Ziggy Stardust" - David Bowie
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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19–12 on winners spread MAE 10.4 40 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
App State @ Tennessee +11.6 132.4 73% 38–79 ✓
Minnesota @ Illinois +14.3 155.7 85% 65–92 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ East Tennessee State +4.1 136.7 73% 60–65 ✓
Hofstra @ Monmouth — — — 96–88 —
Texas Southern @ Auburn +4.3 144.2 65% 63–80 ✓
Wichita State @ Tulsa +2.9 137.7 51% 69–65 ✗
LSU New Orleans @ Louisiana +9.3 142.6 85% 63–73 ✓
Charlotte @ Davidson +9.5 127.5 71% 63–52 ✗
South Carolina State @ Liberty +21.7 135.3 90% 52–82 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Stetson -5.4 135.0 24% 69–78 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ UNC Greensboro +14.9 143.0 89% 57–65 ✓
Western Carolina @ VCU +11.7 152.1 86% 68–93 ✓
Utah Valley @ Utah +9.5 143.6 80% 67–75 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Evansville +1.7 138.9 61% 63–66 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Texas A&M +10.7 137.8 85% 52–69 ✓
Jackson State @ Louisiana Tech — — — 58–85 —
Loyola Chicago @ Wisconsin +4.7 135.8 75% 63–77 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ North Texas +19.7 139.3 90% 56–81 ✓
Southern Miss @ Lamar +4.7 125.7 47% 66–63 ✗
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Texas State +9.6 127.8 83% 46–51 ✓
Indiana State @ Saint Louis — — — 59–78 —
Georgia Tech @ Florida State +9.6 154.6 82% 61–74 ✓
Florida A&M @ Austin Peay +4.9 141.8 68% 76–70 ✗
Furman @ Alabama +5.8 157.0 77% 80–83 ✓
Kansas State @ Iowa State +6.0 131.9 67% 74–65 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Saint Mary's +8.1 136.0 80% 75–80 ✓
Massachusetts @ La Salle — — — 85–66 —
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Central Connecticut -0.3 156.8 48% 59–78 ✗
Richmond @ Vanderbilt +4.9 141.4 59% 78–67 ✗
Northeastern @ Syracuse — — — 56–62 —
Campbell @ Elon — — — 56–66 —
Wagner @ Bryant — — — 62–74 —
Long Island University @ Sacred Heart — — — 75–55 —
UTSA @ Oregon State — — — 61–73 —
Omaha @ Colorado +19.7 131.9 90% 49–91 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Miami +1.6 137.0 53% 70–55 ✗
William & Mary @ Hampton +2.5 145.9 66% 75–58 ✗
Mercer @ Georgia State +2.9 157.1 68% 81–88 ✓
Toledo @ Marshall +8.3 139.8 76% 96–87 ✗
San Diego @ Cal Poly +1.3 144.4 56% 70–61 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.