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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
14–8 on winners
spread MAE 10.0
26 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Butler
@
Villanova
|
— | — | — | 66–85 | — |
Ohio State
@
Purdue
|
+3.6 | 132.6 | 60% | 60–67 | ✓ |
South Florida
@
Cincinnati
|
+5.1 | 135.6 | 61% | 74–71 | ✗ |
Florida International
@
Florida Gulf Coast
|
+0.8 | 146.3 | 55% | 85–69 | ✗ |
Central Arkansas
@
Mississippi State
|
+7.6 | 143.2 | 82% | 65–81 | ✓ |
Grambling
@
UL Monroe
|
+5.7 | 133.5 | 69% | 78–61 | ✗ |
UNC Asheville
@
Chattanooga
|
+10.5 | 143.7 | 85% | 66–69 | ✓ |
TCU
@
Oklahoma State
|
+5.2 | 135.1 | 66% | 77–76 | ✗ |
Samford
@
Troy
|
-5.6 | 137.4 | 37% | 71–79 | ✗ |
Kennesaw State
@
Belmont
|
+13.5 | 139.7 | 88% | 53–64 | ✓ |
Southern
@
UAB
|
+16.3 | 144.8 | 88% | 46–88 | ✓ |
Sam Houston
@
Texas
|
+20.4 | 140.8 | 90% | 63–79 | ✓ |
Oral Roberts
@
Oklahoma
|
+12.4 | 158.5 | 87% | 65–79 | ✓ |
East Carolina
@
SMU
|
+8.7 | 142.4 | 81% | 55–70 | ✓ |
Ole Miss
@
Middle Tennessee
|
-7.9 | 129.0 | 19% | 70–51 | ✓ |
Tennessee Tech
@
Jacksonville State
|
+9.4 | 134.3 | 80% | 50–74 | ✓ |
Duke
@
Notre Dame
|
+3.3 | 144.3 | 66% | 75–65 | ✗ |
UTEP
@
Arizona State
|
+6.0 | 145.0 | 67% | 76–63 | ✗ |
Memphis
@
Tulane
|
-4.4 | 133.2 | 20% | 80–74 | ✓ |
Northern Colorado
@
Denver
|
— | — | — | 83–75 | — |
Montana
@
Washington
|
+3.1 | 130.1 | 55% | 66–58 | ✗ |
North Dakota
@
Southern Illinois
|
+7.7 | 141.0 | 83% | 64–85 | ✓ |
Wagner
@
Bryant
|
+9.6 | 140.0 | 84% | 75–81 | ✓ |
Long Island University
@
Sacred Heart
|
— | — | — | 72–87 | — |
Delaware State
@
Coastal Carolina
|
— | — | — | 73–99 | — |
Saint Joseph's
@
Drexel
|
+8.8 | 149.5 | 86% | 77–81 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.