Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | DEN +240 UNCO -280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +8 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | DEN -0.6 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (+20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | DEN -1.0 (-9.0) | 135.9 (+22.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEN -0.1 (-8.1) | 138.0 (+20.0) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -2.1 (-5.9) | 137.4 (+20.6) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | DEN 86 – 79 UNCO |
| Dec 21, 2024 | UNCO 82 – 75 DEN |
| Jan 7, 2024 | UNCO 86 – 82 DEN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEN | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-19 | 11-11 |
| Conference | 1-13 | 6-8 |
| Home | 2-10 | 6-5 |
| Away | 0-9 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -11.6 (#305) | -6.9 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.19 (#295) | -0.50 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.09 (#289) | -0.88 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#221) | 0.505 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEN | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 28.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.53 | 0.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 34.6% |
| TOV% | 26.3% | 29.7% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 21.1% |
| FT Rate | 32.3% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.3% | 58.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.2% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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