Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | SHU +240 LIU -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +15 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | LIU -10.9 (+25.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (+22.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -8.3 (+23.3) | 138.1 (+20.9) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -7.9 (+22.9) | 143.6 (+15.4) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -8.6 (+23.6) | 136.7 (+22.3) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2024 | LIU 75 – 58 SHU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | SHU 89 – 55 LIU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | LIU 74 – 70 SHU |
| Dec 31, 2022 | SHU 82 – 64 LIU |
| Mar 3, 2022 | LIU 82 – 75 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 4-3 | 6-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#271) | 9.1 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#257) | 1.41 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.07 (#252) | 2.07 (#76) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#78) | 0.500 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 34.4% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 26.7% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.4% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 24.8% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 13.6% | 31.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 36.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 30.7% |
| DRB% | 63.4% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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